ECB’s Kazimir: Key for me will be January repricing

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), Peter Kazimir, said during the European trading session on Tuesday that the interest rate hike at the policy meeting earlier this month was “unavoidable”. Kazimir added that energy prices remained key factor for higher inflationary pressures.

Comments

Rate hike was unavoidable.

Energy prices remain key factor.

Key for me will be January repricing.

We need flexibility, we have enough time.

ECB FAQs

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

USD/IDR: External headwinds keep upside risks – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports USD/IDR briefly traded back towards 18,000 as higher Oil prices, elevated US Treasury yields and a firm Dollar weighed on the Indonesian Rupiah. Bank Indonesia has shifted intervention toward NDF and DNDF, seen as more effective and less reserve-intensive.
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US Dollar stays fundamentally supported – Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s Global FX Strategy team, led by Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret, notes broad Dollar strength versus most G10 currencies, with focus on Oil, US yields and the Federal Reserve rate path.
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